And you know who Matt Ryan has loved throwing to from a clean pocket? Kyle Pitts. Since starting 3-0, the Panthers rank last in pressure rate, according to TruMedia. Reiss: Let’s keep the focus on the NFC South. Adebo had a really bad game against the Giants, so I suspect he’ll be the prime target. But Roby has been playing more and more lately, so we’ll see how that goes. Adebo has played surprisingly well this year, enough to hold on to his starting spot after the Saints traded for Bradley Roby at the beginning of the season. Gardner-Johnson or whoever rookie Paulson Adebo is covering. Terrell: With Antonio Brown out, I expect they’ll target Chris Godwin a lot in the slot against C.J. Who do you think Tom Brady will turn to instead? Where’s the weak spot in the Saints’ secondary? Reiss: Hard to argue with those numbers and Lattimore’s broader history against receivers he has beef with. So not only do I expect a great matchup, I expect past history to repeat itself here. And Lattimore dislikes Evans to the point of refusing to say anything nice about him lately (Evans appears to feel the same). If you watched DK Metcalf when the Saints played the Seahawks, he had that one explosive TD when Lattimore slipped after some hand fighting between the two, but then he only had one catch for 12 yards after that. He goes into some other level when he plays against receivers he doesn’t like. sBAsFLAtUOĪnd Lattimore himself is just playing really well. Lattimore has shadowed Evans in 7 games since he was drafted…and it shows up in Evans’ numbers. Saints week, which means it’s Mike Evans vs. Not only do these two guys hate each other to the point of Evans getting suspended for a blindside hit on Lattimore, but Lattimore has consistently gotten the best of him lately. I know Evans has had a great season so far, but he’ll be going up against Marshon Lattimore this week. My first bet is $40 on Bucs wideout Mike Evans going UNDER 71.5 receiving yards (-115). I tried to come up with some reason that maybe they’d try to pass more, but I think Henry hitting over 103.5 is a safer bet than not. I’d rather be sweating out an over bet with him than an under bet, honestly. I’d say the only reason he had “down” numbers of 86 yards last week is because the Titans were overwhelmingly beating the Chiefs and the Chiefs had the ball most of the fourth quarter. His overs are extremely high for a reason, and I definitely wish I hadn’t been scared off making that bet a few weeks ago. I mean look what he did to a good Buffalo defense: 143 yards at an average of 7.15 yards per carry. Terrell: The guy is putting up unreal numbers. I think this will be a close game, and I’m done doubting Henry. Two of the three times he didn’t hit triple digits came in games the Titans lost by multiple scores. In seven regular season matchups against a Matt Eberflus-led Colts defense, Henry has rushed for over 100 yards four times and averaged 5.5 yards per carry overall. But every time I think Henry is due to regress, he puts up another insane performance. I was tempted to go the other way because that is a very high number and the Colts rank first in run defense DVOA. I’m starting with $40 on Derrick Henry OVER 103.5 rushing yards (-115) against the Colts. But hey, a down weekend only means I’m due for a bounceback, right? The first two hit… the last very much did not. My bet was a three-leg parlay: Patriots, Packers and Panthers against the spread. Reiss: The Texans played in the afternoon slate so I bet on three early games. But now I’m curious what bet you made? If it was for the Panthers to win straight up…ouch, very ouch. Funny thing is, if I had made the same bet on the Ravens’ opposing QB during our “bye” week, Joe Burrow would have led me to a 3 touchdown victory! (Geaux Tigers!) I feel like all my bets come to fruition the week after I make them. Terrell: And I was probably stupid not to listen to your advice about the Ravens defense, so I watched as Justin Herbert fumbled his way to a putrid showing.
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